Apr 1, 2008

International Markets - 31st March 2008 - A mixed end for the US Market

A mixed end for the US Market

US Market ended mixed for the week that ended on Friday, 28 March, 2008. Barring Monday, 24 March, 2008, the major indices closed lower on all the other days of the week. Nasdaq was the only major index that managed to eke out a marginal gain for the week. Or else, Dow and S&P 500 both posted losses. Financial sector ruled the major part of the momentum of the weeks trading. Ultimately, it turned out to be the worst performing sector of this busy week.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 145 points for the week. Tech - heavy Nasdaq gained 3 points. S&P 500 lost 14.3 points.

On Monday, 24 March, Bear Sterns once again brought back a smile on US Markets face after JP Morgan Chase lifted its offer to buy Bear Sterns at $10/share from its previous $2/share. This Helped Bear Sterns stock soar by more than 85% today and also gave the financial sector an overall good boost.

Also helping to set things on a positive mode on that day was the existing home sales report for February, which showed a surprising 2.9% increase from January levels - the first monthly increase in a year. After being up by almost 214 points at open, the Dow Jones industrial Average ended the day with a gain of 184 points.

Though up and down since the opening bell, the major stock indices closed a little higher on Tuesday, 25 March after the Conference Board reported U.S. consumers' confidence falling in March. Monsanto came up with strong forecast and that also led to some positive market sentiments. Nasdaq finished higher by 14.3 points and S&P 500 finished higher by 3.1 points.

But on the negative side, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index, which measures prices in 20 U.S. metropolitan areas, declined 10.7% on a y-o-y basis, the largest drop on record since the measurement began in 2001.

For the rest of the week, host of familiar issues regarding the financial sector, rising commodity prices, weak economic data and speculation that a large private equity deal involving Clear Channel Communications and general earnings concerns took indices lower.

The financial sector was badly hammered after Oppenheimer cut earnings estimates for Bank of America, Citigroup, JP Morgan Chase and Wachovia. Also, Oppenheimer cut earnings estimates for UBS and Merrill Lynch. On the other hand, Lehman Brothers cut its estimates on several banks like Citigroup, Bank of America and Wells Fargo.

Among major economic reports, new home sales fell to a 13 year low in February and there was a 1.7% drop in durable good order in USA for February. Initial jobless claims for last week fell to 366,000 from 375,000, which was slightly better than the expected. Separately, final fourth quarter GDP was left unchanged at 0.6%.

Oracle reported a slower-than-forecast 21% revenue rise for the third quarter, with profit increasing 30%. The company said on its call that customers got a little more cautious at the end of its quarter.

Ultimately on Friday, 28 March, 2008, indices once again ended in the red after retailer JC penny reduced its first quarter guidance which ends in April.

With trading on Monday, 31 March, the first quarter will come to an end and the US stock market is set for its largest quarterly decline since 2002.


International Markets - 31st March 2008 - March Madness set to continue April

March Madness set to continue April

Asian markets ended a first week of the day with on a negative note as the Japanese stocks dragged down by financials such as Mizuho Financial Group on worries about global credit markets, while exporters such as Honda Motor Co. in the wake of a drop on Wall Street and a stronger yen.

The Nikkei 225 Average fell 2.3% to 12,525.54 in Tokyo, while the broader Topix index lost 2.5% to 1,212.96.

According to the official data released by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry, Japans industrial output dropped 1.2% in February from the previous month, marking the second straight month of declines.

In another release the housing starts in Japan fell for the eighth straight month in February although the pace of decline has slowed, signaling the easing impact of tighter building rules. The Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport said housing starts dropped 5.0% to 82,962 units in February from a year earlier, after declining 5.7 % in January. It is the best reading since June 2007 when housing construction rose 6.0 percent. The annualized rate of housing starts dipped to 1.15 million units in February from 1.19 million units in the previous month.

China's Shanghai Composite dropped 3% to 3,472.71, reflecting disappointment after the government didn't announce any new measures to support the beaten-down stock market, as rumored on Friday. The index ended 4.9% higher on Friday on speculation regulators might announce the introduction of index futures trading.

In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng Index dropped 1.9% to 22,849.20 and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index dropped 2.8% to 12,083.30.

Elsewhere, S&P/ASX 200 index fell 0.1% to 5,355.70, after rising as high as 5,375 earlier in the day, while South Korea's Kospi also retreated from highly volatile trading day ending the day up by 0.13% to 1,703.99. New Zealand's NZX 50 rose 0.7% to 3,470.43; Singapore's Straits Times Index slipped 1.07% to 2,999.42 and Taiwan's weighted index lost 0.6% to 8,572.59.

In the afternoon trading, India's Sensex skid down by 4.1% to 15,687.47, while the broader S&P CNX Nifty index lost 3.8% to 4,753.80.

In currency trading, the U.S. dollar was quoted at 99.64 yen in Asia, compared with 99.40 yen in New York late Friday.

May crude oil futures fell as much as $85 cents to $104.77 a barrel in electronic trading, after losing $1.96 to settle at $105.62 a barrel Friday on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Meanwhile European stocks dropped in an opening trade, with telecom leading the market lower after a critical brokerage note and with UBS lower on further worries about potential write-downs.

In the opening trade the U.K. FTSE 100 index was down by 0.9% to 5,639.50 followed by the German DAX 30 index, which by declined 1.3% to 6,473.34. The French CAC-40 index slid 1% to 4,648.30.

On the data release side we had the money supply measured by M3, which grew at a slower-than-expected pace across the euro-zone in February. M3 - a broad measure of money supply closely watched by bank policymakers grew at an 11.3% monthly pace in February.

Meanwhile consumer price inflation in the euro-zone rose at 3.5% annual pace in March, accelerating from the 3.2% rate seen in February 2008. The inflation figure still remains well above the European Central Bank's medium-term cap of 2% adding concern to the officials who are scheduled to meet on 10 April 2008.


Indian Markets 31st March 2008 - Markets show weakness

Markets show weakness

The markets opened with a downward gap this morning on the back of weak global cues. They continued to slide through the day to finally close near the lows of the day. While the Sensex was down 726.85 points or 4.44% at 15,644.44, the Nifty was down 207.5 points or 4.20% to close at 4734.50. Broadmarket indices lost less as the BSE Midcap and Smallcap indices dropped by 1.46% and 0.76% respectively. The market breadth was marginally positive as A/D ratio was 1.06:1 on the BSE. NSE cash turnover was Rs.14,487.46 crs. Vs. Rs.14,308.88 crs. on Friday.

All the Sectoral indices ended in the red. The BSE Realty, Bankex and IT were the worst hit as they lost in excess of 5%. The sectoral indices that lost the least were the BSE Healthcare, Auto and FMCG indices. Gainers from the index pivotals included Cipla, M&M, Bharti Airtel and ITC only. Losers included HDFC, ICICI Bank, DLF, TCS, ONGC and Wipro.

With the markets correcting sharply, we recommend a go slow approach on fresh long positions till we see evidence of fresh strength emerging.


Market Report - Top-performing IPOs for the Past Financial Year 2007-2008

Market Report - Top-performing IPOs for the Past Financial Year 2007-2008

Company

Listing Date

Issue Price (Rs)

Previous Close (Rs)

Gain/Loss (%)

Orbit Corporation Ltd.

12-Apr-07

110

559.85

408.95

MIC Electronics Ltd.

30-May-07

150

700.55

367.03

Everonn Systems India Ltd.

1-Aug-07

140

606.25

333.04

Allied Digital Services Ltd.

25-Jul-07

190

758.3

299.11

SEL Manufacturing Company Ltd.

21-Aug-07

90

304.3

238.11

Vishal Retail Ltd.

4-Jul-07

270

771.75

185.83

Refex Refrigerants Ltd.

20-Aug-07

65

171

163.08

Time Technoplast Ltd.

13-Jun-07

315

799.3

153.75

Nitin Fire Protection Industries Ltd.

5-Jun-07

190

398.9

109.95

Religare Enterprises Ltd.

21-Nov-07

185

388.4

109.95

Maytas Infra Ltd.

25-Oct-07

370

708.8

91.57

Power Grid Corporation of India Ltd.

5-Oct-07

52

99.45

91.25

Koutons Retail India Ltd.

12-Oct-07

415

793.5

91.2

Burnpur Cement Ltd.

3-Jan-08

12

22.8

90

ICRA Ltd.

13-Apr-07

330

618.8

87.52

Ankit Metal & Power Ltd.

10-Jul-07

36

63.75

77.08

Allied Computers International (Asia) Ltd.

23-Nov-07

12

20.8

73.33

Kaveri Seed Company Ltd.

4-Oct-07

170

285

67.65

Bhagwati Banquets & Hotels Ltd.

17-May-07

40

65.45

63.63

GSS America Infotech Ltd.

7-Mar-08

400

640.75

60.19

Advanta India Ltd.

19-Apr-07

640

989

54.53

Glory Polyfilms Ltd.

18-Jun-07

48

69.4

44.58

Housing Development & Infrastructure Ltd.

24-Jul-07

500

721.3

44.26

Mundra Port & Special Economic Zone Ltd.

27-Nov-07

440

618.9

40.66

Consolidated Construction Consortium Ltd.

15-Oct-07

510

710

39.22

Gremach Infrastructure Equipment & Projects Ltd.

11-Apr-07

86

116.45

35.41

DLF Ltd.

5-Jul-07

525

695.7

32.51

Omnitech InfoSolutions Ltd.

14-Aug-07

105

134.85

28.43

OnMobile Global Ltd.

19-Feb-08

440

551.05

25.24

Simplex Projects Ltd.

3-Aug-07

185

227.05

22.73

Saamya Biotech (India) Ltd.

19-Oct-07

10

11.45

14.5

Meghmani Organics Ltd.

28-Jun-07

19

21.15

11.32

Varun Industries Ltd.

22-Nov-07

60

66.1

10.17

Suryachakra Power Corporation Ltd.

23-Jul-07

20

21.75

8.75

Jyothy Laboratories Ltd.

19-Dec-07

690

742

7.54

Take Solutions Ltd.

27-Aug-07

730

767.55

5.14

Rural Electrification Corporation Ltd.

12-Mar-08

105

109.2

4

Edelweiss Capital Ltd.

12-Dec-07

825

800.05

-3.02

Aries Agro Ltd.

11-Jan-08

130

125

-3.85

IRB Infrastructure Developers Ltd.

25-Feb-08

185

177.45

-4.08

Tulsi Extrusions Ltd.

25-Feb-08

85

80.9

-4.82

Transformers & Rectifiers (India) Ltd.

28-Dec-07

465

426.25

-8.33

Future Capital Holdings Ltd.

1-Feb-08

765

685.55

-10.39

Central Bank of India

21-Aug-07

102

90.4

-11.37

Indowind Energy Ltd.

14-Sep-07

65

56.85

-12.54

eClerx Services Ltd.

31-Dec-07

315

264.95

-15.89

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd.

11-Sep-07

825

688.75

-16.52

V-Guard Industries Ltd.

13-Mar-08

82

66.7

-18.66

Binani Cement Ltd.

28-May-07

75

60.65

-19.13

Barak Valley Cements Ltd.

23-Nov-07

42

33

-21.43

Shriram EPC Ltd.

20-Feb-08

300

232.3

-22.57

Supreme Infrastructure India Ltd.

18-Oct-07

108

81.95

-24.12

BGR Energy Systems Ltd.

3-Jan-08

480

359.2

-25.17

J Kumar Infraprojects Ltd.

12-Feb-08

110

81.85

-25.59

Reliance Power Ltd.

11-Feb-08

450

333.9

-25.8

Fortis Healthcare Ltd.

9-May-07

108

78.4

-27.41

Omaxe Ltd.

9-Aug-07

310

215.4

-30.52

Cords Cable Industries Ltd.

13-Feb-08

135

91.2

-32.44

Kolte-Patil Developers Ltd.

13-Dec-07

145

96

-33.79

Circuit Systems (India) Ltd.

2-Nov-07

35

21.7

-38

Puravankara Projects Ltd.

30-Aug-07

400

243.1

-39.23

Bang Overseas Ltd.

20-Feb-08

207

125.4

-39.42

Kaushalya Infrastructure Development Corporation Ltd.

14-Dec-07

60

36

-40

Celestial Labs Ltd.

17-Jul-07

60

35.1

-41.5

Spice Communications Ltd.

19-Jul-07

46

26.2

-43.04

Asian Granito India Ltd.

23-Aug-07

97

54.25

-44.07

Zylog Systems Ltd.

17-Aug-07

350

192.75

-44.93

Dhanus Technologies Ltd.

17-Oct-07

295

156.85

-46.83

Manjushree Extrusions Ltd.

28-Feb-08

45

22.6

-49.78

Precision Pipes & Profiles Company Ltd.

11-Jan-08

150

75.1

-49.93

KNR Constructions Ltd.

18-Feb-08

170

83.1

-51.12

Renaissance Jewellery Ltd.

12-Dec-07

150

72.2

-51.87

Nelcast Ltd.

27-Jun-07

219

105.15

-51.99

KPR Mill Ltd.

28-Aug-07

225

104.8

-53.42

Brigade Enterprises Ltd.

31-Dec-07

390

177.1

-54.59

Magnum Ventures Ltd.

20-Sep-07

30

13.45

-55.17

Empee Distilleries Ltd.

26-Nov-07

400

169.05

-57.74

Rathi Bars Ltd.

23-Nov-07

35

14.75

-57.86

Roman Tarmat Ltd.

9-Jul-07

175

69.6

-60.23

Hilton Metal Forging Ltd.

24-May-07

70

27.5

-60.71

Manaksia Ltd.

8-Jan-08

160

61.8

-61.38

Insecticides ( India ) Ltd.

30-May-07

115

43.6

-62.09

Asahi Songwon Colors Ltd.

4-Jun-07

90

34.1

-62.11

Alpa Laboratories Ltd.

6-Aug-07

68

25.5

-62.5

Decolight Ceramics Ltd.

19-Jun-07

54

20.1

-62.78

IVR Prime Urban Developers Ltd.

16-Aug-07

550

190.2

-65.42

Porwal Auto Components Ltd.

14-Jan-08

75

24.2

-67.73

Source- rediff

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