Mar 25, 2008

Mutual Fund - DSP ML Equity Fund : Analysis

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With the Sensex declining sharply in value over the past two weeks and mid and small-cap indices registering even sharper reversals, this is probably a good time for investors to take exposures to the equity markets through the fund route.

A strong pedigree and track record across market cycles, ability to weather short-term market reversals and the flexibility to invest in both large and mid-cap stocks may be key attributes to look for in a diversified equity fund, under current circumstances. The DSP ML Equity Fund is a diversified fund that fits the bill well, on all these parameters.

One, launched in April 1997, DSP ML Equity has over a ten-year track record of beating its benchmarks through various market cycles. The fund is among a handful in the diversified category to manage a top quartile performance, over one-, three-, five- as well as 10-year time frame. The fund has also stayed well ahead of the category average over each of these periods.

Two, the fund's return generation has also been fairly consistent over the past five years. It has figured within the top quartile in return rankings in each of the five years. Further, it has managed to contain the erosion in its NAV to levels less than the broad markets in several of the recent corrective episodes. Whether it was the short corrective episodes in October and August 2007 or the more severe one in May 2006, the NAV of the DSP ML Equity Fund has declined less than the Sensex on each occasion.

Three, in terms of portfolio strategy, the fund invests in a mix of mid and large-cap stocks. This may make it a good option for an investor who does not wish to actively manage his MF portfolio between those oriented towards large-caps and those funds with a mid-cap bias. Over the past year, about 40-45 per cent of the assets of DSP ML Equity Fund have been consistently invested in mid-cap stocks (market capitalisation of Rs 7,500 crore or less).

Performance and strategy: The fund has managed a return of about 35 per cent over the past year, and has managed a five-year compounded annual return of about 56 per cent. It spreads its fairly large asset base of Rs 1,400 crore over 70-80 stocks, with the top holdings accounting for less than 5 per cent of the assets. The relatively small exposure to individual stocks and the mix between mid and large-caps probably helps the fund reduce the impact costs associated with taking exposure to its smaller picks.

The top portfolio holdings as of end December suggested a large-cap bias with a mix between value and growth stocks — stocks such as ONGC, Tata Chemicals, Reliance Inds, IOC and Tata Power were the key exposures. The fund's sector exposures were quite offbeat with refineries, fertilisers and banks taking up the top sector preferences. However, exposures were restricted to the quality stocks in these spaces, though much of the recent action has been in smaller momentum stocks.

Fund facts: Launched in April 1997, DSP ML Equity Fund is managed by Apoorva Shah. The entry load is 2.25 per cent for investments up to Rs 5 crore.

Mutual Fund - UTI Opportunities Fund : Analysis

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Investors can retain their investments in UTI Opportunities Fund. Having lagged the benchmark by a huge margin in 2006, the fund's performance appears to have gathered momentum over the past year. Since the fund has a track record of less than three years, however, investors need to evaluate its performance over a longer period before making any fresh commitment to the fund.

UTI Opportunities takes concentrated exposures to a clutch of four-five sectors at a time. As such, its profile fits somewhere between a diversified fund and a sectoral fund.

Suitability: As the fund takes concentrated exposures to fewer sectors, it has a higher risk profile. According to the offer document, the fund follows a dynamic sector allocation strategy. That is, it moves in and out of sectors depending upon the potential risk-reward.

Its performance, therefore, depends on the fund manager's ability to make the right calls on sector trends, and time entry and exit accordingly. The fund may, therefore, be more suitable for investors with a higher risk appetite.

Performance: The performance in the initial period after the fund's launch was unimpressive, with a return of just 6.5 per cent in 2006. It appears to have changed tack, with recent portfolios looking more promising.

The fund's NAV has grown by 40 per cent in the past year and outpaced the benchmark by 12 percentage points. DSPML Opportunities, which follows a similar strategy, delivered 29 per cent during the same time-frame. UTI Opportunities has shown some improvement in consistency of performance.

In 2006, the fund trailed the benchmark BSE-100, in eleven out of 12 months. However, over the past twelve months, it has outperformed the latter at least 50 per cent of the time. During August 2007 and the recent correction too, the fund contained losses better than the benchmark.

Portfolio: The compact portfolio has just 35 stocks. The top five sectors corner 68 per cent of the assets. Stock-specific exposures were capped at 8 per cent. The fund invests predominantly in large-cap stocks. As per the latest portfolio, the exposure to stocks with market capitalisation of less than Rs 7,500 crore was just about 22 per cent.

Mutual Funds - Kotak-30 fund - Analysis

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Kotak-30, a large-cap-oriented fund, has consistently beaten its benchmark – the Nifty – over one, three and five year periods. With a little over 30 stocks in its portfolio, the fund holds a compact portfolio.

The movement in the fund's assets over the July-Dec period reveals that, while the fund's corpus has increased 39.7 per cent to Rs 660 crore, the NAV has risen 51.5 per cent to Rs 113.8 per unit. This indicates that there may have been some redemptions from the fund.

Sector moves: Banking, a sector that has had a good year, is the top sector holding of the fund with a 14.4. per cent allocation. The 'happening' capital goods (13.2 per cent) sector and petroleum (10 per cent) were also among the top allocations.

Given the run-up in prices of capital goods stocks and uncertainty in the sustained profitability of petroleum companies due to rising global oil prices, these sectors need close watching. Interestingly, in a contrarian move, the textiles sector exposure has more than doubled to 4.2 per cent in the last six months. The construction sector has also seen increased exposures.

Predictably, the IT sector, whose stocks have under-performed because of fears on macro cues, have seen exposures more than halved. Incidentally, this sector was the top holding in end-June for the fund. The telecom services sector has also seen reduced exposures as has the pharmaceuticals segment. The power sector, which has had a good run in the past year, was a fresh entrant in the portfolio.

Stock Moves: Bank of Baroda and Sesa Goa, that doubled in price over the past six months, find themselves in the portfolio. Tata Power and Punj Lloyd, that more than doubled in the same period, are also in. Other important additions include Axis Bank, Suzlon Energy, GAIL and IOC.

HCL Technologies and Satyam Computer, underperformers in the past year, have exited the portfolio. Surprisingly, Reliance Petroleum, the toast of most funds has been exited. Other heavyweight stocks that exited completely are HDFC Bank, Hindustan Unilever and Sun Pharmaceuticals.

Reliance Industries (7.9 per cent), the fund's top holding, has remained with the fund during this period. Aditya Birla Nuvo (4.2 per cent) which was among the marginal holdings in the portfolio six months ago, finds itself among the top holdings now. Two interesting mid-caps in the 'held then and now' category are ABG Shipyard and Patel Engineering.

Other heavyweights retained are L&T, BHEL, SBI, ICICI Bank, ONGC Reliance Communications, and Sterlite Industries. The other top-performing stock is Jaiprakash Associates.

Mutual Funds Performance Report - Balanced Funds (Growth Option)

Balanced Funds (Growth Option)

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Returns as on 3-11-2008

Balanced Funds (Growth Option)

1 Year

2 Year

3 Year

Since Inception

Birla Balance Fund

15.29

12.38

18.98

14.28

Birla Sun Life 95 Fund

25.70

20.17

26.81

27.20

BOB Balance Fund

29.56

7.51

21.62

25.38

Canara Robeco Balanced II

28.63

12.35

16.36

17.86

Canara Robeco Balance

23.79

13.09

29.69

19.11

DSP Merrill Lynch Balanced Fund

31.78

20.86

28.22

19.59

FT India Balanced Fund

21.72

18.79

25.30

17.77

HDFC Balanced Fund

23.11

12.65

19.78

18.46

HDFC Prudence Fund

23.85

19.77

29.57

28.52

ICICI Prudential  Balance Fund

18.18

14.17

24.00

18.05

ING Vysya Balanced Fund

24.79

16.21

22.42

11.64

JM Balanced Fund

18.85

15.44

24.61

17.35

Kotak Balance

29.10

16.35

28.38

21.07

LICMF Balanced Fund - Plan C

30.14

13.84

23.87

9.45

Principal Balanced Fund

28.91

12.37

21.88

12.54

Reliance Regular Savings - Balanced

28.30

17.80

N.A

13.37

SBI Magnum Balanced Fund

26.36

17.90

30.10

33.38

Sundaram Balanced Fund

28.55

16.44

23.73

19.18

Tata Balanced Fund

30.21

18.77

26.84

16.39

Tata Young Citizens Fund

-24.80

-10.57

1.91

12.46

Templeton India Pension Plan

16.09

13.55

15.10

15.78

UTI Balanced Fund

22.84

12.47

19.63

15.78

Average / No of Funds

22.77

14.20

22.80

18.39

Maximum

31.78

20.86

30.10

33.38

Minimum

-24.80

-10.57

1.91

9.45

Median

25.24

14.80

23.87

17.82

CRISIL Fund~bX

23.15

16.65

25.15

21.95

 

Mutual Funds Performance Report - Equity Linked Tax Saving Schemes (Growth Option)

Equity Linked Tax Saving Schemes (Growth Option)

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Returns as on 3-11-2008

Equity Linked Tax Saving Schemes   (Growth Option)

1 Year

2 Year

3 Year

Since Inception

ABN AMRO Tax Advantage Plan

25.15

10.05

N.A

16.85

Birla Equity Plan

26.75

17.15

30.72

31.05

Birla Sun Life Tax Relief 96

32.26

23.58

34.66

39.06

Canara Robeco equity TaxSaver

35.02

18.26

31.94

20.64

DBS Chola Tax Saver Fund

13.48

8.22

N.A

15.38

DSP ML Tax Saver Fund

46.18

N.A

N.A

31.14

DWS Tax Saving Fund

44.39

N.A

N.A

18.26

Escorts Tax Plan

37.50

19.35

28.02

23.56

Fidelity Tax Advantage Fund

28.08

21.82

N.A

22.74

Franklin India Index Tax Fund

28.83

22.95

30.71

20.67

Franklin Taxshield Fund

27.71

13.91

28.73

35.54

HDFC Long Term Advantage Fund

20.17

10.57

27.31

38.05

HDFC Tax Saver Fund

20.93

12.71

31.55

33.30

HSBC Tax Saver Equity Fund

21.73

N.A

N.A

10.45

ICICI Prudential  Tax Plan

20.22

8.87

25.30

28.31

ING Vysya Tax Savings Fund

9.29

7.30

26.66

28.79

Kotak Tax Saver Fund

28.03

19.02

N.A

26.66

LICMF Tax Plan 1997

19.58

7.99

18.16

9.06

Lotus India Tax Plan

45.48

N.A

N.A

24.28

Principal Personal Tax Saver

43.28

25.54

33.02

31.91

Principal Tax Saving Fund

34.60

22.49

35.73

25.08

Reliance Tax Saver Fund

16.26

8.94

N.A

18.90

Sahara Taxgain 97 Fund

40.36

16.70

31.97

32.09

SBI Magnum Tax Gain Scheme 1993

28.81

23.96

43.17

30.13

Standard Chartered Tax Saver Fund

N.A

N.A

N.A

28.13

Sundaram Taxsaver

37.42

21.09

35.20

26.31

Tata Tax Advantage Fund - 1

32.07

N.A

N.A

10.27

Tata Tax Saving Fund

27.54

10.58

23.90

28.16

UTI Equity Tax Saving Plan (ETSP)

30.46

11.83

N.A

22.40

Average / No of Funds

29.34

15.78

30.40

25.07

Maximum

46.18

25.54

43.17

39.06

Minimum

9.29

7.30

18.16

9.06

Median

28.45

16.70

30.72

26.31

BSE Sensex

25.03

22.31

32.96

19.04

S&P CNX Nifty

30.38

23.55

31.18

13.65